Thu, April 25, 2024

Economy

Wibest – UK Currency: The UK and EU flags in front of the UK parliament.

UK Inflation Hits 13-Month Low at 2.4%, Unexpectedly Drops

Quick Look: UK inflation hits a 13-month low at 2.4%, unexpectedly driven down by lower airfares. Bank of England may delay rate hikes, with shifting odds now favouring a rise by August. Economic signs mixed, with factory costs up but pound strength and job market stability noted. In a surprising turn of events, British inflation …

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Regional tensions and stocks, South Korea

South Korea’s Economic Turmoil in a Shifting Global Landscape

Quick Look: South Korea’s shadow banking has grown to S$85.8 trillion, with a high delinquency rate of 6.55%. Soaring debts in real estate, highlighted by Taeyoung’s restructuring and a US$66 billion government intervention. Significant funds enrich the tech sector with major semiconductor projects led by SK Hynix and Samsung. The global economy grapples with fluctuating …

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IMF Forecasts 3.2% Global Growth in 2024

Quick Look:  IMF revises the 2024 global growth forecast by 0.1%, maintaining a stable outlook amidst global challenges. Advanced economies like the US and the Eurozone show positive indicators, surpassing pre-COVID levels. Geopolitical tensions, inflation risks, and differing central bank approaches threaten forecasted growth despite potential economic drivers. The IMF emphasizes urgent reforms for sustained …

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Five superpowers ruling the world

2023/24 Global Economy: 3% Growth Amidst Conflict

Quick Look: Global Growth Projections: IMF predicts growth of 3% in 2023 and 2.9% in 2024. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflict in the Middle East escalates oil prices. Inflation Concerns: High inflation rates prompt fears of continued tight monetary policy. Energy Sector Outlook: Predictions of oil prices reaching $100 per barrel. BP’s Strategic Moves: BP aims …

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Thailand's Tourism-Dependent Economy Will Rise In Q4

Singapore-Thailand Talks Boost Digital & Green Growth

Quick Look: Thailand and Singapore emphasize digital and green economies, deep tech, and smart cities. The economic outlook for Thailand in 2024 projects growth of 2.8%-3.3%, with calls for governmental action to stimulate the economy. Ongoing EU-Thailand trade talks seek to balance economic growth with democratic principles. The partnership aims for economic resilience and innovation, …

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How Close is Russia to a Complete Default?

Russia’s 2023 Economy: Navigating Sanctions Successfully

Quick Look:  Russia’s seaborne crude oil exports surged to nearly 3.5 million barrels/day, diversifying energy markets amidst sanctions. Despite Western sanctions freezing $300 billion, Russia’s reserves reached $599 billion in 2023, ensuring economic stability. Russia’s economy stays resilient despite sanctions, aided by fiscal stimulus during COVID-19, supporting growth and military operations. Russia-China ties strengthen amid …

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Stocks and various factors, Baltimore

$2M Daily Loss: Baltimore Bridge Collapse Aftermath

Quick Look: The Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore collapsed after a massive container ship strike.  Daily wage loss is estimated at $2 million, affecting 8,000 jobs and disrupting cargo worth up to $200 million. President Biden seeks federal funding for rebuilding, highlighting the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law’s role.  Minimal overall economic growth impact predicted, with …

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bank of france

France’s Fiscal Path 2023-2027: Deficit & Growth

Quick Look: France’s public deficit climbed to 5.5% of GDP in 2023, beyond the set target of 4.9%. The French government sets a reduction target for the deficit to less than 3% by 2027. Macron’s visit to Brazil emphasizes strengthening economic ties, focusing on green investment and defence cooperation. Amidst the global recovery phase, the …

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New Zealand and The influence of coronavirus

New Zealand Back to Recession: GDP Falls 0.1%

Quick Look New Zealand’s economic contraction by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2023. The per capita economy shrank by 0.7% in the same period. A record migration intake of 141,000 in 2023 amidst economic downturns. The upcoming national budget may introduce significant adjustments in response to the recession. New Zealand’s Central Bank indicates potential …

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banknotes at ATM

BoJ Shifts Gear: Ends NIRP, Raises Rates First Time in 16 Years

Quick Look The BoJ has announced significant changes to its monetary policy, marking a departure from the negative interest rates since 2016. For the first time since 2007, the BoJ raised borrowing costs, setting short-term interest rates at about 0% to 0.1%. The policy adjustments include the end of yield curve controls and a strategic …

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South Korea

South Korea’s Corp Reform: A Battle Against the Discount

Quick Look South Korea introduces the Corporate Value-up Programme to mitigate the “Korea Discount” and stimulate stock market valuations. The National Pension Service (NPS), the world’s third-largest pension fund, awaits details to adjust asset allocation. Comparisons with Japan’s market reforms spotlight potential benefits and investor scepticism regarding South Korea’s approach. Legal leniency towards chaebols and …

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US

The U.S.: Feb CPI Growth 0.4%, Job Adds Hit 275K

Quick Look February’s Consumer Price Index is about to rise by 0.4%, indicating an annual inflation rate of 3.1%. Core CPI, excluding gas and food, may decrease slightly from January’s figure. The Producer Price Index will show a marginal increase, reflecting ongoing inflation pressures. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta projects a 2.5% annual growth rate …

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reserve bank of Australia

Australia’s GDP Growth: A 2023 Q4 Analysis

Quick Look GDP grows by 0.2% in December Quarter 2023, matching economists’ predictions. Annual Australia’s GDP Growth Rate hits 1.5%, aligning with expectations. Export growth and reduced imports boost the economy, while company stock reductions hinder. The household savings ratio rises after two years. Projections indicate a slowdown in GDP growth, with potential recovery by …

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Turkey, forex

Turkey’s Inflation Hits 67.07%, Lira Drops to 31.4205

Quick Look February’s annual inflation rate in Turkey soared to 67.07%, up from January’s 64.86%. The monthly Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) rose by 4.53% in February, surpassing expectations. Central Bank of Turkey ramped up interest rates by 3,650 basis points to 45% since June. The Turkish lira weakened further, trading at 31.4205 against the dollar …

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