Thu, April 18, 2024

The Federal Reserve: Dollar Falls on Fed’s Hint

Super close up macro image of American one hundred dollar bill.

The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell dropped the most definite hint about the central bank on the next policy meeting about cutting interest rates at the end of the month.

Meanwhile, the dollar was weaker in the early trading in Europe on Thursday as the losses were extended.

Recovering from an overnight low of 96.463, the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of developed-market peers, was up at 96.553.

Even before Powell has begun his testimony with interest rates, the dollar index about half a percent lower.

Warning some members, Powell “judged that uncertainties and downside risks surrounding the economic outlook had increased significantly over recent weeks,” according to minutes on the Fed’s last policy meeting that was released later on Wednesday.

That was an addition to Powell’s testimony, which advised of extended “uncertainty” pondering on the economic outlook.

The way the conclusions arrived, showed a clear bias to easing, and some were less than convinced by it.

The financial markets and an administration are already observing next year’s election campaign.

Besides, CEO of the consultancy Blonde Money in Oxford Helen Thomas said, almost a total capture of the Federal Reserve has occurred.

Thomas said they would argue stuff that could weigh on inflation. Also, they’ll point to trade tensions, geopolitics, Brexit.

Besides, Powell added, “It doesn’t matter. They’re cutting.”

Before recovering to just above 108 in Europe, the dollar’s biggest losses were versus the yen, sliding as low as 107.86.

On Wednesday, after the Bank of Canada decided to leave its key rate untouched, which is now challenging a nine-month high. It also descended versus the Loonie.

In May, since data showed that the economy rebounded somewhat, the dollar also glided against the British pound, which has been better buoyed.

Higher a cent from its week low’s, Sterling was at $1.2534. Besides, reaching its highest level in nearly a week, the euro traded up 0.2% at $1.1271.

The last European Central Bank’s policy meeting is where the $1.13 may depend on the accounts to test, which are also due for release.

Furthermore, the ECB board member Benoit Coeure will speak about this soon.

While U.S. CPI and jobless claims data, both may also generate some action in the dollar. But this time Powell will resume his testimony to the Senate.

The Federal Reserve: Dollar Plunged on Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve building closeup to an eagle statue.

Last week, after Powell specified that overall growth has weakened, we also saw a strong job report last week.

Powell stated, “there is a risk that weak inflation will be even more persistent than we currently anticipate.”

In recent months, Powell said, referring to business investments, “seems to have slowed notably.”

Furthermore, he also added, “Apparent progress on trade turned to greater uncertainty, and our contacts in business and agriculture reported heightened concerns over trade developments.”

Wages did not rise enough to generate much inflation, which is still too low. He also stated, jobs report surpassed everyone’s expectations and referred to them as “great news.”

Due back later today, the Fed chief is here to appear before the Senate Banking Committee.

Meanwhile, many policymakers thought they should look for more stimulus minutes from the central bank’s June policy meeting showed.

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